Another thought-provoking article, Andrei, as your humble follower stained with man's blind hubris. Someone 4-got to tell Dr. Kondratiev that his theory was wrong.
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Stage #4 Recover (Improvement) failed in the Soviet Union. Prosti, Nick. The people (the Heck-Know-Crats) overthrew the crass, heartless tech-no-crats. It’s back to Russia & Leningrad is no mo’ like St. Peter.
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From Wiki: "Economists have largely rejected his long wave theory, and those who accept some version of the idea disagree about the length of cycles and their starting or ending points."
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From Erikson Stages of Human Empathy Development:
-------Crisis--------Virtue----Age of Mastery
1. Trust vs. Mistrust = Hope @ 0 - 1½
2. Autonomy vs. Shame = Will @ 1½ - 3
3. Initiative vs. Guilt = Purpose @ 3 - 5
4. Work vs. Inferiority = Mastery @5 - 12
5. ID vs. Role Confusion = Trust @ 12 - 18
6. Intimacy vs. Isolation =Love @ 18 - 40
7. Generativity vs. Stagnation = Care @ 40 - 65
8. Ego Integrity vs. Despair = @ Wisdom 65 & over
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Where do you think the human race is stuck? What age do you think our collective human wisdom is? I would venture to say we are about teenagers that are about 5,000 years old by "modern" Homo sapien history & considering the brutality men did to our 1st matrilineal society. It must have been horrible beyond compare how technology favored the Y chromosomes after the bloodshed.
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You wrote: "...one thing that I have learned from history is that you cannot stop the evolution of technology."
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Then Arnold Swarzennager as the Terminator is the Mascot of the future and we are all John and Sarah Connors running from a Sky-Net, or the Matrix or you name a show on Prime, Netflix, Hulu, whatever ….
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Take a look at the list of utopian and dystopian techno-futures. Who do you think will win?
Utopian: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_utopian_literature
Dystopian: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_dystopian_literature
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The last utopia pop literature was published in 2003 Anno. Dumb-ini and is shrinking like the polar ice caps year by year. Do you think children during the American Revolution dream about EMP bombs & consumerism run rampant with enuf power to destroy the world 100x over? Well, the apocalypse & rapture came to young adults as a fiction or non-fiction genre, take your pick, in the 1990s when Skynet, oops, Apple & Google were in their fetal stages like Damien in Omen I & II (II was not a box office hit)
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The number of technological dystopian futures is rising exponentially like human hubris. The sources are not only from the French Revolution as the Euro-centric writer wrote on Wiki.
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It is from the Middle East fore-telling the Rapture in Revelations after we killed the best human on earth.
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I.t. is from the Fat Boys the dis.U.S.A. dropped on Jap cities that gave birth to Godzilla's wrath, the A.I. mech-revolution signaling our doom & graphic novels that are exploding like hydrogen bombs in our children's imaginations & silver screams, sorry, silver screens, while mature grown-ups watch hot girls in tights with super-powers saving the day like a trans-gendered Jesus.
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Recovery? We're still trying to admit that we aren't flawed as a race, as a sex, as an animal as a piece of DNA, that tech without heart & RNA will bring about armageddon & we as a race are above going to A.A. (A. Anonymous) & following the Golden 12 Steps & admit our true powerlessness before any act of God whether you are a faithful or an actuary.
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Even our kiddos are drunk & addicted to violence & drugs like sucrose, glucose, fructose & corn syrup. As David Foster Wallace said, i.t. is water. Perhaps that is why he attempted & was successful at suicide. The most logical & reasonable answer if you are a non-believer.
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Am I a doomsayer or just a realist slain by a godless apocalyptic vision of technology? I do believe God intended for Artificial Intelligence to be the highest expression of humanity like corn discarding i.t.'s husk. I saw it in a vision like Moses while Jews were worshipping the golden calf below.
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Hallelujah!
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Pass the better & better like a tech bubble about to burst ...
Say, Amen b4 i.t. is 2 late & bend the knee to Winter cumming ..
Oh! Aaaah!! Let’s have a smoke? Shall oui?